Cyprus and Morocco are Ryanair’s stand out winter growth markets alongside its new Ukraine and Jordan operations
It is just a couple of weeks before the northern hemisphere switches to its winter flight schedules and latest flight data from OAG shows that Ryanair will offer its largest winter programme with available seats up +12.7% versus winter 2017/2018, based on planned schedules. This is the highest rate of year-on-year seasonal growth since summer 2016 and if the planned flights operate, will be the second largest winter capacity rise this decade.
Like most European airlines, Ryanair faces significant seasonality in demand between the summer and winter months. At times this decade its summer schedule has been more than double the size of its winter offering with a significant number of aircraft taken out of the system during the quieter travel periods. This year that divide is not so pronounced, and the planned winter programme is actually larger than Ryanair’s summer operation in the last year of the last decade.
The OAG data shows the LCC is adding more than six million seats to its winter programme, exceeding 52 million for the full period that spreads from 28-Oct-2018 through to 30-Mar-2019. This is the first time it has offered more than 50 million winter seats and is almost double the level it offered ten years ago. In fact its winter capacity has grown at a CAGR of +6.7%.
As well as notable new winter operations in Ukraine and Jordan – becoming the airline’s 25th and 28th largest country markets, respectively – the largest growth markets for Ryanair this winter will be Cyprus, where it will more than double its inventory (+105.0%), and Morocco, which will replace Greece as its tenth largest winter market with capacity growth of +44.4%. Double-digit year-on-year capacity rises are planned in seven of its ten largest winter country markets and two of the remaining three will see are expected to see growth of more than +9%.
READ MORE INSIGHTS via The Blue Swan Daily: Cyprus and Morocco are Ryanair’s stand out winter growth markets alongside its new Ukraine and Jordan operations